10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 579.31 · S2 573.52 · S3 515.15 · S4 455.91
④ Position
63% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (579-661), entry at R1 661, target mid 620, stop 692
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 660.70 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 579.31, stop 673.91
- IF 失守 579.31 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 573.52 → 570.62
- IF 突破 673.91 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 693.74 → 619.24
- IF 跌穿 455.91 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
660.70
Target
620.01
Stop
692.06
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.75%
Reward
+6.16%
R:R
1.30 : 1
Backtest 197d
54% win (n=13) · +1.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 619.24
- R1 (today high)
- 660.70
- Last
- 630.66
- S1 KEY
- 579.31
- S3
- 515.15
- S4 (crash)
- 455.91
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.