10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 220.68 · S2 218.47 · S3 215.55 · S4 130.42
④ Position
40% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (221-391), pos 40%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 391.37 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 220.68, stop 399.20
- IF 失守 220.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 218.47 → 217.37
- IF 突破 399.20 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 410.94 → 413.00
- IF 跌穿 130.42 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
38% win (n=8) · +13.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 413.00
- R1 (today high)
- 391.37
- Last
- 288.14
- S1 KEY
- 220.68
- S3
- 215.55
- S4 (crash)
- 130.42
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.