10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 156.84 · S2 155.27 · S3 115.42 · S4 114.52
④ Position
59% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (157-215), pos 59%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 214.89 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 156.84, stop 219.19
- IF 失守 156.84 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 155.27 → 154.49
- IF 突破 219.19 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 225.63 → 179.80
- IF 跌穿 114.52 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
60% win (n=5) · +2.9%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 179.80
- R1 (today high)
- 214.89
- Last
- 190.94
- S1 KEY
- 156.84
- S3
- 115.42
- S4 (crash)
- 114.52
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.