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US · Amgen Inc.

AMGN 442.24 -0.36%

Amgen Inc. · SELL_R1 · 59% win (60d, n=17) · +3.3% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 60 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

AMGN daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 375.96 · S2 372.20 · S3 320.52 · S4 312.39
④ Position 93% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (376-447), pos 93%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 447.01 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 375.96, stop 455.95
  • IF 失守 375.96 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 372.20 → 370.32
  • IF 突破 455.95 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 469.36 → 380.14
  • IF 跌穿 312.39 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d 59% win (n=17) · +3.3%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
380.14
R1 (today high)
447.01
Last
442.24
S1 KEY
375.96
S3
320.52
S4 (crash)
312.39
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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