10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 241.23 · S2 238.82 · S3 224.13 · S4 244.28
④ Position
87% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (241-279), entry at R1 279, target mid 260, stop 295
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 279.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 241.23, stop 284.58
- IF 失守 241.23 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 238.82 → 237.61
- IF 突破 284.58 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 292.95 → 285.36
- IF 跌穿 244.28 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
279.00
Target
260.11
Stop
294.51
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.56%
Reward
+6.77%
R:R
1.22 : 1
Backtest 197d
54% win (n=24) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 285.36
- R1 (today high)
- 279.00
- Last
- 273.92
- S1 KEY
- 241.23
- S3
- 224.13
- S4 (crash)
- 244.28
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.