10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 73.90 · S2 73.16 · S3 69.70 · S4 70.20
④ Position
2% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (74-91), entry at S1 74, target mid 83, stop 72
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 91.20 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 73.90, stop 93.02
- IF 失守 73.90 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 73.16 → 72.79
- IF 突破 93.02 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 95.76 → 123.10
- IF 跌穿 70.20 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
73.90
Target
82.55
Stop
72.42
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+11.71%
R:R
5.85 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +0.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 123.10
- R1 (today high)
- 91.20
- Last
- 74.20
- S1 KEY
- 73.90
- S3
- 69.70
- S4 (crash)
- 70.20
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.