10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 86.50 · S2 85.64 · S3 102.80 · S4 105.30
④ Position
12% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (86-113), pos 12%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 112.60 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 86.50, stop 114.85
- IF 失守 86.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 85.64 → 85.20
- IF 突破 114.85 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 118.23 → 147.90
- IF 跌穿 105.30 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 147.90
- R1 (today high)
- 112.60
- Last
- 89.75
- S1 KEY
- 86.50
- S3
- 102.80
- S4 (crash)
- 105.30
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.