10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1.52 · S2 1.50 · S3 1.45 · S4 1.21
④ Position
88% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (2-2), entry at R1 2, target mid 2, stop 2
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1.78 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 1.52, stop 1.82
- IF 失守 1.52 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 1.50 → 1.50
- IF 突破 1.82 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1.87 → 1.94
- IF 跌穿 1.21 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1.78
Target
1.65
Stop
1.88
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.49%
Reward
+7.19%
R:R
1.31 : 1
Backtest 60d
56% win (n=9) · +3.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1.94
- R1 (today high)
- 1.78
- Last
- 1.75
- S1 KEY
- 1.52
- S3
- 1.45
- S4 (crash)
- 1.21
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.