10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 282.20 · S2 279.38 · S3 474.00 · S4 567.83
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (282-422), entry at R1 422, target mid 352, stop 431
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 422.20 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 282.20, stop 430.64
- IF 失守 282.20 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 279.38 → 277.97
- IF 突破 430.64 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 443.31 → 741.85
- IF 跌穿 567.83 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
422.20
Target
352.20
Stop
430.64
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+16.58%
R:R
8.29 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 741.85
- R1 (today high)
- 422.20
- Last
- 398.20
- S1 KEY
- 282.20
- S3
- 474.00
- S4 (crash)
- 567.83
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.