10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 47.40 · S2 46.93 · S3 44.21 · S4 44.77
④ Position
49% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (47-51), pos 49%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 51.45 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 47.40, stop 52.48
- IF 失守 47.40 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 46.93 → 46.69
- IF 突破 52.48 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 54.02 → 50.50
- IF 跌穿 44.77 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 50.50
- R1 (today high)
- 51.45
- Last
- 49.38
- S1 KEY
- 47.40
- S3
- 44.21
- S4 (crash)
- 44.77
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.