10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 37.68 · S2 37.30 · S3 33.16 · S4 25.06
④ Position
13% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (38-44), pos 13%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 43.76 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 37.68, stop 44.64
- IF 失守 37.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 37.30 → 37.11
- IF 突破 44.64 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 45.95 → 47.30
- IF 跌穿 25.06 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
50% win (n=16) · +7.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 47.30
- R1 (today high)
- 43.76
- Last
- 38.46
- S1 KEY
- 37.68
- S3
- 33.16
- S4 (crash)
- 25.06
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.