10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 12.70 · S2 12.57 · S3 10.69 · S4 10.09
④ Position
94% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (13-14), entry at R1 14, target mid 13, stop 14
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 13.51 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 12.70, stop 13.78
- IF 失守 12.70 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 12.57 → 12.51
- IF 突破 13.78 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 14.19 → 12.56
- IF 跌穿 10.09 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
13.51
Target
13.11
Stop
13.78
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+3.00%
R:R
1.50 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 12.56
- R1 (today high)
- 13.51
- Last
- 13.46
- S1 KEY
- 12.70
- S3
- 10.69
- S4 (crash)
- 10.09
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.