10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3.61 · S2 3.57 · S3 4.56 · S4 4.44
④ Position
26% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (4-4), pos 26%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4.26 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 3.61, stop 4.35
- IF 失守 3.61 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 3.57 → 3.56
- IF 突破 4.35 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4.47 → 6.88
- IF 跌穿 4.44 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
42% win (n=19) · +12.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6.88
- R1 (today high)
- 4.26
- Last
- 3.78
- S1 KEY
- 3.61
- S3
- 4.56
- S4 (crash)
- 4.44
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.