10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 41.96 · S2 41.54 · S3 36.78 · S4 39.94
④ Position
88% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (42-48), entry at R1 48, target mid 45, stop 49
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 47.68 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 41.96, stop 48.63
- IF 失守 41.96 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 41.54 → 41.33
- IF 突破 48.63 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 50.06 → 50.50
- IF 跌穿 39.94 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
47.68
Target
44.82
Stop
48.63
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+6.00%
R:R
3.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
62% win (n=16) · +5.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 50.50
- R1 (today high)
- 47.68
- Last
- 47.00
- S1 KEY
- 41.96
- S3
- 36.78
- S4 (crash)
- 39.94
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.