10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 15.01 · S2 14.86 · S3 13.14 · S4 14.95
④ Position
62% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (15-17), entry at R1 17, target mid 16, stop 18
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 16.88 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 15.01, stop 17.22
- IF 失守 15.01 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 14.86 → 14.78
- IF 突破 17.22 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 17.72 → 15.68
- IF 跌穿 14.95 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
16.88
Target
15.95
Stop
17.53
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.85%
Reward
+5.54%
R:R
1.44 : 1
Backtest 197d
67% win (n=27) · +13.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 15.68
- R1 (today high)
- 16.88
- Last
- 16.16
- S1 KEY
- 15.01
- S3
- 13.14
- S4 (crash)
- 14.95
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.