10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 112.10 · S2 110.98 · S3 123.70 · S4 120.50
④ Position
88% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (112-166), entry at R1 166, target mid 139, stop 169
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 165.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 112.10, stop 169.12
- IF 失守 112.10 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 110.98 → 110.42
- IF 突破 169.12 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 174.09 → 246.50
- IF 跌穿 120.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
165.80
Target
138.95
Stop
169.12
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+16.19%
R:R
8.10 : 1
Backtest 197d
52% win (n=27) · +1.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 246.50
- R1 (today high)
- 165.80
- Last
- 159.40
- S1 KEY
- 112.10
- S3
- 123.70
- S4 (crash)
- 120.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.