10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 71.35 · S2 70.64 · S3 73.12 · S4 74.12
④ Position
6% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (71-81), entry at S1 71, target mid 76, stop 69
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 80.90 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 71.35, stop 82.52
- IF 失守 71.35 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 70.64 → 70.28
- IF 突破 82.52 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 84.95 → 85.47
- IF 跌穿 74.12 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
71.35
Target
76.12
Stop
68.90
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.43%
Reward
+6.69%
R:R
1.95 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=8) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 85.47
- R1 (today high)
- 80.90
- Last
- 71.90
- S1 KEY
- 71.35
- S3
- 73.12
- S4 (crash)
- 74.12
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.