10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 5.72 · S2 5.66 · S3 4.93 · S4 5.06
④ Position
66% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (6-7), entry at R1 7, target mid 6, stop 7
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 6.52 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 5.72, stop 6.65
- IF 失守 5.72 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 5.66 → 5.63
- IF 突破 6.65 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 6.85 → 6.16
- IF 跌穿 5.06 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
6.52
Target
6.12
Stop
6.74
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.38%
Reward
+6.13%
R:R
1.82 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6.16
- R1 (today high)
- 6.52
- Last
- 6.25
- S1 KEY
- 5.72
- S3
- 4.93
- S4 (crash)
- 5.06
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.