10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4.73 · S2 4.68 · S3 4.72 · S4 5.88
④ Position
82% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (5-6), entry at R1 6, target mid 5, stop 6
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 5.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 4.73, stop 5.92
- IF 失守 4.73 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 4.68 → 4.66
- IF 突破 5.92 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 6.09 → 6.53
- IF 跌穿 5.88 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
5.80
Target
5.27
Stop
6.17
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.34%
Reward
+9.26%
R:R
1.46 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=6) · +0.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6.53
- R1 (today high)
- 5.80
- Last
- 5.62
- S1 KEY
- 4.73
- S3
- 4.72
- S4 (crash)
- 5.88
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.