10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 41.60 · S2 41.18 · S3 41.67 · S4 37.02
④ Position
80% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (42-46), entry at R1 46, target mid 44, stop 48
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 46.14 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 41.60, stop 47.06
- IF 失守 41.60 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 41.18 → 40.98
- IF 突破 47.06 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 48.45 → 48.44
- IF 跌穿 37.02 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
46.14
Target
43.87
Stop
47.74
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.46%
Reward
+4.92%
R:R
1.42 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 48.44
- R1 (today high)
- 46.14
- Last
- 45.22
- S1 KEY
- 41.60
- S3
- 41.67
- S4 (crash)
- 37.02
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.