10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4.49 · S2 4.45 · S3 4.65 · S4 4.76
④ Position
98% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (4-5), entry at R1 5, target mid 5, stop 5
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4.95 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 4.49, stop 5.05
- IF 失守 4.49 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 4.45 → 4.42
- IF 突破 5.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 5.20 → 5.79
- IF 跌穿 4.76 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
4.95
Target
4.72
Stop
5.12
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.42%
Reward
+4.70%
R:R
1.37 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=6) · +3.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 5.79
- R1 (today high)
- 4.95
- Last
- 4.94
- S1 KEY
- 4.49
- S3
- 4.65
- S4 (crash)
- 4.76
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.