10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 127.30 · S2 126.03 · S3 98.98 · S4 81.88
④ Position
56% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (127-150), pos 56%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 150.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 127.30, stop 153.00
- IF 失守 127.30 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 126.03 → 125.39
- IF 突破 153.00 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 157.50 → 127.68
- IF 跌穿 81.88 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +0.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 127.68
- R1 (today high)
- 150.00
- Last
- 140.00
- S1 KEY
- 127.30
- S3
- 98.98
- S4 (crash)
- 81.88
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.