10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4.20 · S2 4.16 · S3 4.14 · S4 3.97
④ Position
92% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (4-5), entry at R1 5, target mid 4, stop 5
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4.75 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 4.20, stop 4.84
- IF 失守 4.20 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 4.16 → 4.14
- IF 突破 4.84 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 4.99 → 5.57
- IF 跌穿 3.97 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
4.75
Target
4.47
Stop
4.89
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.08%
Reward
+5.80%
R:R
1.88 : 1
Backtest 197d
57% win (n=30) · +4.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 5.57
- R1 (today high)
- 4.75
- Last
- 4.70
- S1 KEY
- 4.20
- S3
- 4.14
- S4 (crash)
- 3.97
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.