10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 31.42 · S2 31.11 · S3 29.60 · S4 35.64
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (31-35), entry at R1 35, target mid 33, stop 37
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 35.40 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 31.42, stop 36.11
- IF 失守 31.42 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 31.11 → 30.95
- IF 突破 36.11 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 37.17 → 39.94
- IF 跌穿 35.64 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
35.40
Target
33.41
Stop
36.67
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.58%
Reward
+5.62%
R:R
1.57 : 1
Backtest 90d
82% win (n=11) · +5.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 39.94
- R1 (today high)
- 35.40
- Last
- 34.74
- S1 KEY
- 31.42
- S3
- 29.60
- S4 (crash)
- 35.64
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.