10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 26.50 · S2 26.23 · S3 27.82 · S4 26.30
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (26-31), entry at R1 31, target mid 29, stop 32
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 30.68 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 26.50, stop 31.29
- IF 失守 26.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 26.23 → 26.10
- IF 突破 31.29 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 32.21 → 34.70
- IF 跌穿 26.30 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
30.68
Target
28.59
Stop
31.96
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.18%
Reward
+6.81%
R:R
1.63 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 34.70
- R1 (today high)
- 30.68
- Last
- 29.60
- S1 KEY
- 26.50
- S3
- 27.82
- S4 (crash)
- 26.30
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.